Eurovision is two contests wearing one trophy. Juries reward polish, vocal control and staging discipline; the public rewards a moment – a key change, a costume reveal, a song that refuses to leave your head. Back only one of those and you'll be wrong by half the scoreboard.
How to hedge
The smart final ranking blends them: a jury-friendly favourite near the top, a couple of public-vote bangers that juries tend to underrate, and an awareness that the running order quietly does half the work. Late draws stick in the memory when the lines open.
Treat it like any other bracket – find where the consensus is lazy, disagree on purpose, and enjoy the most chaotic Saturday of the prediction calendar.